Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 1.536615 1.747516 1.978712 2.251275 2.564224 2.912769 3.331042
2025-11-02 1.184125 1.450424 1.766112 2.169119 2.671627 3.279747 4.074812
2025-11-09 0.928960 1.209149 1.563367 2.046446 2.691876 3.529728 4.708322
2025-11-16 0.779865 1.069469 1.456468 2.015461 2.808910 3.904737 5.550099
2025-11-23 0.665032 0.954184 1.359665 1.975571 2.897710 4.243259 6.384998
2025-11-30 0.611211 0.914155 1.358276 2.065089 3.177333 4.886246 7.760739
2025-12-07 0.555602 0.862331 1.330216 2.106751 3.384957 5.443249 9.084956
2025-12-14 0.496172 0.795947 1.269753 2.086337 3.486233 5.838656 10.197596
2025-12-21 0.436990 0.722097 1.187347 2.016988 3.492749 6.071006 11.055339
2025-12-28 0.414148 0.705013 1.195160 2.099824 3.770460 6.807220 12.938782
2026-01-04 0.392096 0.686308 1.197254 2.171397 4.035203 7.553120 14.957370
2026-01-11 0.368361 0.661672 1.185566 2.215188 4.251844 8.235144 16.955910
2026-01-18 0.343598 0.633538 1.166340 2.246278 4.456256 8.938828 19.159063
2026-01-25 0.310304 0.585898 1.105607 2.189127 4.476586 9.274539 20.632523
2026-02-01 0.274687 0.529949 1.022774 2.077020 4.367082 9.320864 21.461658
2026-02-08 0.252663 0.498322 0.984175 2.051360 4.438747 9.770499 23.317620
2026-02-15 0.231833 0.466863 0.942422 2.013569 4.477959 10.152252 25.078261
2026-02-22 0.225350 0.464185 0.959582 2.106425 4.827240 11.305660 29.011877
2026-03-01 0.214877 0.451937 0.955053 2.149745 5.066197 12.231387 32.530753
2026-03-08 0.200116 0.428898 0.924628 2.129266 5.147533 12.778283 35.121589
2026-03-15 0.182944 0.398846 0.875560 2.058580 5.093923 12.971714 36.748579
2026-03-22 0.178474 0.396883 0.889799 2.143336 5.450140 14.300423 41.983626
2026-03-29 0.173369 0.392923 0.898948 2.216542 5.786866 15.631750 47.516679